{"id":4004,"date":"2018-10-30T12:35:10","date_gmt":"2018-10-30T12:35:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/?p=4004"},"modified":"2019-10-01T12:31:53","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T12:31:53","slug":"sp-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"S&#038;P Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>The beginning<\/h1>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/08\/03\/sp-500-three-things\/\">On August 3rd 2018 I wrote about some behaviors of S&amp;P<\/a>. These behaviors and my desire to develop reports to understand trends at monthly level took me to draw this figure the same day:<a href=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/sp-monthly-shoulder-head-shoulder\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-4005\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-4005 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SP-monthly-shoulder-head-shoulder.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1577\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SP-monthly-shoulder-head-shoulder.jpg 1577w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SP-monthly-shoulder-head-shoulder-300x130.jpg 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SP-monthly-shoulder-head-shoulder-768x333.jpg 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SP-monthly-shoulder-head-shoulder-1024x443.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SP-monthly-shoulder-head-shoulder-500x217.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1577px) 100vw, 1577px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h1>How things happened in the calendar<\/h1>\n<p>At the end of August I took the decision that I was going to sell the majority of my positions. I did it.<\/p>\n<p>In September I was astonished with the defiance to gravity of the market and a little bit pissed-off with the trend.<\/p>\n<p>Now in October, specially in the second half of the month, I have seen how this has been evolving. The Q3 closing reports seemed to be the flutter of the butterfly that changed the trend.<\/p>\n<h1>The feeling<\/h1>\n<p>It&#8217;s just a graphic, it&#8217;s just a figure, it&#8217;s just a coincidence, but I&#8217;m happy about all I learned to be able to draw it.<\/p>\n<h1>Update November 23rd 2018<\/h1>\n<h1><a href=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/add-2018-11-23\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-4041\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4041\" src=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ADD-2018-11-23.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"731\" height=\"167\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ADD-2018-11-23.jpg 731w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ADD-2018-11-23-300x69.jpg 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ADD-2018-11-23-500x114.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 731px) 100vw, 731px\" \/><\/a>Update December 22nd 2018<\/h1>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/h-c-h-2018-12-22\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-4072\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4072\" src=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2018-12-22.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1394\" height=\"275\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2018-12-22.jpg 1394w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2018-12-22-300x59.jpg 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2018-12-22-768x152.jpg 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2018-12-22-1024x202.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2018-12-22-500x99.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1394px) 100vw, 1394px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h1>Update January 2nd 2019<\/h1>\n<h1><a href=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/h-c-h-2019-01-02\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-4075\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4075\" src=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-01-02.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1624\" height=\"546\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-01-02.jpg 1624w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-01-02-300x101.jpg 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-01-02-768x258.jpg 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-01-02-1024x344.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-01-02-500x168.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1624px) 100vw, 1624px\" \/><\/a>Update March 14th 2019<\/h1>\n<h1><a href=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/spx-2019-03-14\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-4204\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4204\" src=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-03-14.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1610\" height=\"721\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-03-14.jpg 1610w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-03-14-300x134.jpg 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-03-14-768x344.jpg 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-03-14-1024x459.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-03-14-500x224.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1610px) 100vw, 1610px\" \/><\/a>Update April 3rd 2019<\/h1>\n<h1><a href=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/spx-2019-04-03\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-4217\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4217\" src=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-04-03.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1755\" height=\"727\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-04-03.jpg 1755w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-04-03-300x124.jpg 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-04-03-768x318.jpg 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-04-03-1024x424.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/SPX-2019-04-03-500x207.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1755px) 100vw, 1755px\" \/><\/a>Update on September 30th 2019<\/h1>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/h-c-h-2019-09-30\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-4325\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4325\" src=\"http:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-09-30.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1009\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-09-30.jpg 1009w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-09-30-300x89.jpg 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-09-30-768x228.jpg 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/h-c-h-2019-09-30-500x149.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1009px) 100vw, 1009px\" \/><\/a>At the end,I was wrong, the S-H-S figure was not drawn. I was expecting a fall in May and it did not happen.<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately to me, I did 2 big moves in the right moment and 1 move in the wrong moment:<\/p>\n<p>The right ones:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>August 2018: sell.<\/li>\n<li>January 2019: buy.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The wrong one:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>April 2019: sell<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The beginning On August 3rd 2018 I wrote about some behaviors of S&amp;P. These behaviors and my desire to develop reports to understand trends at monthly level took me to draw this figure the same day: How things happened in the calendar At the end of August I took the decision that I was going &#8230; <a title=\"S&#038;P Predictions\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/30\/sp-predictions\/\" aria-label=\"Read more about S&#038;P Predictions\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[105],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trading"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>S&amp;P Predictions -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The beginning On August 3rd 2018 I wrote about some behaviors of S&amp;P. 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