{"id":8554,"date":"2025-09-20T02:11:06","date_gmt":"2025-09-20T00:11:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/?p=8554"},"modified":"2025-10-28T23:38:32","modified_gmt":"2025-10-28T22:38:32","slug":"quantum-computing-companies-playing-the-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2025\/09\/20\/quantum-computing-companies-playing-the-game\/","title":{"rendered":"Quantum Computing, companies playing the game"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>AI is in the portfolio, and now it&#8217;s time to think about the next big thing. There are many advances in many fields but they are too far away to my knowledge, the closer one where I have some literacy is technology, so I have picked Quantum Computing as a field where to read.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When is Quantum computing to achieve relevant results? I have no clue, but there are many companies investing and advancing on this field and it could be that from here to 2030 many things can happen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have been reading about Quantum Computing, and with the purpose of organize ideas, I did a Wardley Map for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"616\" src=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-6-1024x616.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8555\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-6-1024x616.png 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-6-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-6-768x462.png 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-6.png 1237w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I have selected public companies, as they are forced to publish financial data and be accountable in front of the regulator. There are many other companies, but I lack of time to review all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After observing the map, it&#8217;s interesting to see how IONQ and a little bit Rigetti are the ones that are doing something different: heavily invested in communications. The major players are focused on processors, software (there&#8217;s a world of new software here that probably deserves another map) and cloud and on-premise services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are 2 groups of companies playing the game: big corporations and medium size corporations that are nurtured by investors and have small or nule revenue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What is the financial profile of the medium size companies?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I did a review of the 3 of them: Rigetti, D-Wave and IonQ, and they are similar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Small revenue, high-operating cost&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"493\" src=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-7-1024x493.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-7-1024x493.png 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-7-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-7-768x370.png 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-7.png 1035w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>High valuations, small amount of debt, a lot of cash secured from investors<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"488\" src=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-8-1024x488.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8557\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-8-1024x488.png 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-8-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-8-768x366.png 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-8.png 1035w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Too much amount of R&amp;D, and negative returns<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"485\" src=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-9-1024x485.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8558\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-9-1024x485.png 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-9-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-9-768x364.png 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-9.png 1035w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What are the ETFs doing?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As I&#8217;m new on this field, I wanted to know what the ETFs of the sector doing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>VanEck Quantum Computing UCITS ETF (QNTM)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Rank<\/th><th>Company<\/th><th>Approx % Weight<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>IonQ, Inc.<\/td><td>~8.5 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>D-Wave Quantum, Inc.<\/td><td>~4.6 %<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>Intel Corporation<\/td><td>~4.2 %<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Wells Fargo &amp; Co.<\/td><td>~4.2 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Bank of America Corp.<\/td><td>~4.1 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>Microsoft Corp.<\/td><td>~4.1 %<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>IBM<\/td><td>~4.1 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>Honeywell International, Inc.<\/td><td>~4.0 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>Amazon.com, Inc.<\/td><td>~4.0 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>Synopsys, Inc.<\/td><td>~4.0 % <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>WisdomTree Quantum Computing UCITS ETF (WQTM)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Rank<\/th><th>Company<\/th><th>Approx % Weight<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>IonQ, Inc.<\/td><td>~6.3-6.5 %<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Rigetti Computing, Inc.<\/td><td>~5.6-6.0 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>D-Wave Quantum, Inc.<\/td><td>~5.0-5.6 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Quantum Computing Inc. (Ticker: QUBT)<\/td><td>~4.0-4.5 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Intel Corporation<\/td><td>~4.1-4.2 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>Alphabet Inc. (Class A)<\/td><td>~3.9-4.0 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>Amazon.com, Inc.<\/td><td>~2.9-3.5 %<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>Fujitsu Limited<\/td><td>~3.3 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>Microsoft Corporation<\/td><td>~3.2-3.3 % <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>IBM<\/td><td>~2.9-3.3 %<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Updated map 21\/Sept<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Updated following inputs from Sergey,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"625\" src=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-10-1024x625.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8561\" srcset=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-10-1024x625.png 1024w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-10-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-10-768x469.png 768w, https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-10.png 1324w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Are these companies scam?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I did a random walk on Twitter searching for \u201cD-Wave scam\u201d, \u201cionq scam\u201d y \u201cRigetti scam\u201d. All of them have people announcing their technology is a scam. The one with more and worst comments is D-Wave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Definition of the Components on the map<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As there are many new concepts, I have given a definition to each component to have better understanding and when sharing the map.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Cloud Services and Hybrid Classical-Quantum Access<\/strong>: Cloud platforms that allow users to run quantum algorithms while integrating with classical computing resources, often providing hybrid workflows to maximize performance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Full Stack Integration &amp; Modularity (HW &#8211; MW &#8211; SW Integration)<\/strong>: Combining quantum hardware, middleware, and software layers into an interoperable stack, while allowing modular components (e.g., hardware choice, error correction, developer tools) to be swapped or integrated.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Software Tooling, Simulators<\/strong>: Development environments, SDKs, and simulators that let researchers and developers design, test, and run quantum algorithms on classical hardware before deploying to actual quantum devices.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Quantum-Safe Communication<\/strong>: Cryptographic methods resistant to attacks from quantum computers (e.g., lattice-based cryptography, quantum key distribution) to secure digital communication.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Photonic Interconnects &amp; Quantum Repeaters<\/strong>: Devices that transmit and extend quantum states (qubits) across optical fibers or free space, enabling long-distance quantum communication by overcoming photon loss and decoherence.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Photon-Based Networking Infrastructure<\/strong>: The backbone for transmitting quantum information using photons as carriers, including optical fibers, switches, and other photonic network components.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Quantum Networking HW<\/strong>: Specialized hardware (e.g., quantum routers, transceivers, memories) that enables qubit transfer and entanglement distribution across quantum networks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Photon Detection<\/strong>: Hardware that detects single photons with high efficiency and low noise, crucial for quantum communication, networking, and photonic quantum computing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Quantum Annealing HW<\/strong>: Hardware designed for optimization problems using quantum annealing, where the system evolves toward a low-energy solution, rather than universal quantum computation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Hybrid Solvers<\/strong>: Algorithms or systems that combine quantum and classical computing to solve problems, often using quantum devices for subproblems within a classical optimization framework.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Superconducting Qubit HW &amp; Scaling (Quantum\u00a0Computers)<\/strong>: Quantum hardware based on superconducting circuits cooled near absolute zero, with active research into scaling up the number of stable qubits for practical computation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Silicon Spin Qubits &amp; Quantum Dot \/ CMOS-Based HW<\/strong>: Quantum hardware that uses electron or nuclear spins in silicon quantum dots, aiming for scalability through integration with CMOS semiconductor technology.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Error Correction \/ Fault Tolerance \/ Quality Control:<\/strong> Techniques and systems that detect and correct quantum errors (caused by noise and decoherence), and ensure computations remain reliable as systems scale.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AI is in the portfolio, and now it&#8217;s time to think about the next big thing. There are many advances in many fields but they are too far away to my knowledge, the closer one where I have some literacy is technology, so I have picked Quantum Computing as a field where to read. When &#8230; <a title=\"Quantum Computing, companies playing the game\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/blog\/2025\/09\/20\/quantum-computing-companies-playing-the-game\/\" aria-label=\"Read more about Quantum Computing, companies playing the game\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[270,204],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8554","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-quantum-computing","category-wardley-maps"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Quantum Computing, companies playing the game -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"AI is in the portfolio, and now it&#039;s time to think about the next big thing. 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