{"id":469,"date":"2020-06-24T08:40:27","date_gmt":"2020-06-24T08:40:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/joapen.com\/dream\/?p=469"},"modified":"2020-06-24T08:48:49","modified_gmt":"2020-06-24T08:48:49","slug":"analizando-la-evolucion-de-los-farmacos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/joapen.com\/dream\/2020\/06\/24\/analizando-la-evolucion-de-los-farmacos\/","title":{"rendered":"Analizando la evoluci\u00f3n de los f\u00e1rmacos"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El marco legal general de los f\u00e1rmacos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Cuando se invierte en empresas farmace\u00faticas uno anda detr\u00e1s de los elementos de m\u00e1s valor que estas empresas tienen: sus productos. Existe una amalgama de empresas farmace\u00faticas casi infinita.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analizar una empresa farmace\u00fatica o de biotechnolog\u00eda es igual, que con cualquier otra empresa, lo \u00fanico es que cuando se quiere tratar de entender el ciclo de vida de un producto farmace\u00fatico, hay que tener en cuenta muchos aspectos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lo primero es que el marco legal donde estas empresas operan es muy complejo y tedioso para asegurar lo m\u00e1s posible la salud del consumidor final. Esto hace que los tiempos de ejecuci\u00f3n y los ciclos de inversi\u00f3n sean muy largos. Otra es el pais donde se lleva a cabo el proceso, yo me fijo en el de EE.UU, que es el pais donde operan las empresas que sigo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La foto de arriba sintetiza el proceso y a\u00f1ade algunas cifras en t\u00e9rminos de tiempo e inversi\u00f3n que el desarrollo de un f\u00e1rmaco puede llegar a suponer. Estos dos datos son muy relevantes, especialmente para entender el gasto en I+D y los ciclos de financiaci\u00f3n de las peque\u00f1as empresas farmace\u00faticas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analizando el estado de los productos en concreto<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Yendo un poco m\u00e1s en detalle es interesante ver el estado del desarrollo de estos productos, y entender en que punto de desarrollo est\u00e1n. Yo para eso uso la web https:\/\/www.biopharmcatalyst.com\/<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En ella puedes ver cosas como:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1.- La lista de productos en desarrollo y aprobados<\/span><\/strong> para una empresa, por ejemplo estas de Abbvie (no pongo la lista completa que es muy extensa para esta empresa):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Las fechas ayudan mucho a entender el tempo de las noticias y algunas fluctuaciones del valor en bolsa de las empresas.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

2.- Puedes mirar el calendario y buscar noticias recientes<\/span><\/strong> de productos relativos a una empresa concreta. En este caso mir\u00e9 Bristol Myers Squibb:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Empresas que est\u00e1n a punto de pasar puntos cr\u00edticos del proceso pueden tener fluctuaciones en sus cotizaciones, y muchas veces es por anuncios positivos\/negativos sobre un producto en concreto.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

3.- Tambi\u00e9n puede pasar que queremos estar atentos a un evento sanitario en concreto<\/span><\/strong>, para este a\u00f1o 2020 como no el Coronavirus copa todas las noticias. Para ellos puedes ir al \u00abDrug pipeline and database screener\u00bb para buscar algo concreto:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Podemos selecionar varios campos de valores, yo en este caso me limit\u00e9 a uno.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Puedes guardar estas b\u00fasquedas, en este caso la b\u00fasqueda concreta que hice es esta: https:\/\/www.biopharmcatalyst.com\/biotech-stocks\/company-pipeline-database#indications=COVID-19,COVID-19%20vaccine,Coronavirus<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El resultado, da empresa por empresa los productos relacionados con esta enfermedad. Por ejemplo visualizo Gilead que es de las empresas que m\u00e1s avanzado tiene este f\u00e1maco (23\/Junio\/2020):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Si lo que quiere hacerse es un seguimiento m\u00e1s exhaustivo sobre esto, lo suyo es hacerse una tabla con las fases y las fechas en las que se aprueban el paso a la siguiente fase, y as\u00ed ver la velocidad de desarrollo de los productos por parte de cada empresa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hace unas semanas, la empresa Moderna subi\u00f3 en bolsa de una manera espectacular, el motivo la aprobaci\u00f3n de una fase de un f\u00e1rmaco. Aqu\u00ed podemos ver que solo es fase 2a, y que aun queda mucho tiempo para que esta empresa comience a hacer dinero con este producto:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

El objetivo real de esta web<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Esta herramienta es una web muy enfocada a inversores que practican \u00abcatalyst trading\u00bb, que es una manera de inversi\u00f3n basada en cierto evento incierto que va a ocurrir en un tiempo dado y que funciona como catalizador, cuando la informaci\u00f3n sobre el evento se publica, lo esperado es que el valor de la acci\u00f3n cambie abruptamente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Este m\u00e9todo de inversi\u00f3n es muy seguido en el entorno de la biotecnolog\u00eda, porque existen normas sobre los productos muy claras y muy concretas que permiten que las empresas compitan en un marco legislativo muy claro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yo no practico este tipo de trading, pero la informaci\u00f3n p\u00fablica que esta web publica es muy \u00fatil para entender las empresas en las que invierto a largo plazo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El marco legal general de los f\u00e1rmacos Cuando se invierte en empresas farmace\u00faticas uno anda…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":470,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[51,9,28],"class_list":["post-469","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-04-analiza","tag-aspectos-no-cuantitativos","tag-herramientas","tag-industrias"],"yoast_head":"\nAnalizando la evoluci\u00f3n de los f\u00e1rmacos -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El marco legal general de los f\u00e1rmacos Cuando se invierte en empresas farmace\u00faticas uno anda detr\u00e1s de los elementos de m\u00e1s valor que estas empresas -\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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