{"id":584,"date":"2020-10-22T15:56:40","date_gmt":"2020-10-22T15:56:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/joapen.com\/dream\/?p=584"},"modified":"2021-04-22T23:16:45","modified_gmt":"2021-04-22T22:16:45","slug":"formula-magica-de-joel-greenblatt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/joapen.com\/dream\/2020\/10\/22\/formula-magica-de-joel-greenblatt\/","title":{"rendered":"La f\u00f3rmula m\u00e1gica de Joel Greenblatt, pasos a seguir"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

En el libro El peque\u00f1o libro que aun vence al mercado<\/a>, Joel Greenblatt habla de una f\u00f3rmula m\u00e1gica y de una manera de invertir el dinero para aprovechar los buenos datos fundamentales de las empresas y combinarlo con los pagos de impuestos al final de a\u00f1o (lo que comenta es estrictamente para ciudadanos que pagan sus impuestos en EEUU).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Basicamente Joel busca empresas de gran calidad a buen precio al principio del a\u00f1o. Al final del a\u00f1o vende y compensa ganancias con p\u00e9rdidas para pagar menos impuestos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yo he seguido en papel (ficticio) esta mec\u00e1nica durante un a\u00f1o y los resultados que obtuve no fueron muy buenos y adem\u00e1s aprend\u00ed que no iba la mec\u00e1nica conmigo porque me obligaba a comprar empresas en las que no cre\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(He a\u00f1adido entre par\u00e9ntesis mis comentarios<\/em>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los pasos son<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Paso 1, la selecci\u00f3n de las empresas<\/h5>\n\n\n\n
  1. Solo incluya acciones con una  capitalizaci\u00f3n de mercado  superior a $ 50 millones, $100 millones o $200 millones (Aqu\u00ed Joel propone elegir el rango preferido del inversor<\/em>)<\/li>
  2. Excluya las acciones financieras y de servicios p\u00fablicos (estas son las industrias que Joel excluye, yo excluir\u00eda las aerolineas y otras industrias m\u00e1s, y no quitar\u00eda las empresas de servicios p\u00fablicos<\/em>).<\/li>
  3. Excluya empresas extranjeras o certificados de dep\u00f3sito estadounidenses  (ADR).<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n
    Paso 2, selecci\u00f3n por datos fundamentales<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

    Cree un filtro donde pueda filtrar por los siguientes conceptos:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    1. ROCE > 15%.<\/li>
    2. EV \/ FCF < 10<\/li>
    3. Momentum > 0<\/li>
    4. RPD > 3<\/li>
    5. Beta < 1<\/li>
    6. F-score > 4 (Pietrovsky)<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      Si quedan muchas empresas, a\u00f1ade alg\u00fan filtro m\u00e1s o seleccione aquellas que le gustan m\u00e1s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Paso 3, invierta en unas 20 empresas al principio de a\u00f1o<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

      Idealmente invierta en unas 20 empresas mejor clasificadas, acumulando 2-3 posiciones por mes durante un per\u00edodo de 12 meses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Paso 4, reequilibre la cartera al final de a\u00f1o<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

      Reequilibre la cartera una vez al a\u00f1o, vendiendo perdedores 51 semanas despu\u00e9s de la compra y vendiendo ganadores 53 semanas despu\u00e9s de la compra. Esto es  a efectos fiscales , ya que los perdedores se retienen durante menos de un a\u00f1o y los ganadores se retienen durante m\u00e1s de un a\u00f1o (esto es as\u00ed en EEUU, dependiendo de cada pais, la legislaci\u00f3n puede ser diferente).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Paso 5, siga esta rutina a largo plazo<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

      Utilice la estrategia solo a largo plazo. Por ejemplo, elija implementarlo durante al menos cinco a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Como hacer los filtros<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

      Si accedes a la p\u00e1gina web https:\/\/www.magicformulainvesting.com\/<\/a> y te das de alta un usuario puedes hacer los filtros de manera r\u00e1pida:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Primero poniendo la capitalizaci\u00f3n de la empresa:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      Despu\u00e9s viendo las empresas seleccionadas:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      Una cosa que no me gusta del reporte de resultados es que no muestra los datos concretos de los filtros que aplica, esto para mi es informaci\u00f3n relevante.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      En el libro El peque\u00f1o libro que aun vence al mercado, Joel Greenblatt habla de…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":583,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[38],"class_list":["post-584","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-03-ejecuta","tag-metodo-popular-de-inversion"],"yoast_head":"\nLa f\u00f3rmula m\u00e1gica de Joel Greenblatt, pasos a seguir -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"En el libro El peque\u00f1o libro que aun vence al mercado, Joel Greenblatt habla de una f\u00f3rmula m\u00e1gica y de una manera de invertir el dinero para aprovechar -\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/joapen.com\/dream\/2020\/10\/22\/formula-magica-de-joel-greenblatt\/\" 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